Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Kallithea had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Kallithea win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
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