SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
53.39% ( 0.08) | 24.98% ( 0) | 21.63% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.29% ( -0.09) | 53.71% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.8% ( -0.07) | 75.2% ( 0.07) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0) | 20.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( -0) | 52.35% ( 0) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.13) | 39.79% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.54% ( -0.12) | 76.46% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.38% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.63% |
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