Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Lamia had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.17%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Lamia win was 1-0 (13.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.