Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 38.57%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 30.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.92%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
