Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
