Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
