SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
50.05% ( -0.03) | 24.73% ( 0.01) | 25.22% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( -0.02) | 49.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( -0.03) | 71.46% ( 0.02) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( -0.02) | 19.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.2% ( -0.04) | 51.8% ( 0.03) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% | 34.08% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.23% ( 0) | 70.77% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.22% |
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