SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Olympiacos |
44.12% ( 1.39) | 25.8% ( -0.25) | 30.08% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0.58) | 50.83% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0.51) | 72.72% ( -0.51) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.92) | 22.95% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.26% ( 1.34) | 56.73% ( -1.34) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( -0.5) | 31.07% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( -0.59) | 67.39% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.08% |
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