SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panserraikos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
21.07% ( -0.54) | 24.63% ( -0.02) | 54.3% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% ( -0.48) | 52.96% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( -0.41) | 74.56% ( 0.41) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( -0.82) | 39.93% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( -0.76) | 76.59% ( 0.77) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( 0.04) | 19.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% ( 0.06) | 51.28% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panserraikos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.07% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.22)1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.22% 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.29% |
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