SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Olympiacos |
41.92% ( 0.03) | 26.56% ( 0.01) | 31.51% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.62% ( -0.06) | 53.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% ( -0.05) | 74.92% ( 0.05) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( -0.01) | 25.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( -0.02) | 59.89% ( 0.01) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( -0.06) | 31.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( -0.07) | 67.74% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.51% |
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