Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smirnis win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Panetolikos had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smirnis win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Panetolikos win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Apollon Smirnis in this match.