Apollon Smirnis
3 - 4
AEK Athens

Segovia (8'), Tsambouris (66'), Baxevanidis (90+4')
Ioannidis (44'), Lagos (86')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Ansarifard (6', 25'), Garcia (19'), Oliveira (88')
Tankovic (70'), Krsticic (79'), Insua (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Apollon Smirnis and AEK Athens.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 1-0 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
Apollon Smirnis	Draw	AEK Athens
24.69%	27.57%	47.74%

Both teams to score 44.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.64%

60.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.49%

80.51%

Apollon Smirnis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.4%

40.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.8%

77.2%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59%

25.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78%

60.22%

Score Analysis

Apollon Smirnis 24.69%

AEK Athens 47.73%

Draw 27.57%

Apollon Smirnis	Draw	AEK Athens
1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 5.74% 2-0 @ 4.19% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.26% 3-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.29% Total : 24.69%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 14.13% 0-2 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.11% Total : 47.73%