Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.7%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.69%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.