Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.