Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 51.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Panathinaikos in this match.
0.14) 
-0.02) 
