SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panathinaikos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
50.95% ( -0.63) | 27.47% ( 0.29) | 21.58% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 41.54% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.71% ( -0.64) | 62.29% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.05% ( -0.47) | 81.95% ( 0.47) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( -0.58) | 24.75% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( -0.81) | 59.31% ( 0.81) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% ( -0.02) | 44.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.23% ( -0.02) | 80.76% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 15.47% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 50.93% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.58% |
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