Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panathinaikos in this match.

Result
Panathinaikos	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
57.68% ( -0.05)	26.34% ( -0.05)	15.98% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 36.45% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.57% (

0.25)

64.43% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.51% (

0.18)

83.49% (

-0.17)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27% (

0.09)

22.73% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6% (

0.13)

56.4% (

-0.13)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.17% (

0.29)

52.83% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.46% (

0.18)

86.54% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Panathinaikos 57.66%

Asteras Tripolis 15.98%

Draw 26.33%

Panathinaikos	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 17.78% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.66%	0-0 @ 12% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.98%