SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Olympiacos |
49.04% ( -0.58) | 27.81% ( 0.09) | 23.15% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 42.32% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.83% ( 0.07) | 62.17% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.14% ( 0.05) | 81.86% ( -0.06) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.24) | 25.6% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( -0.33) | 60.48% ( 0.32) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.88% ( 0.54) | 43.12% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.61% ( 0.45) | 79.39% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 15.03% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.03% Total : 23.15% |
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