SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panserraikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
14.74% ( 0.03) | 20.79% ( 0.09) | 64.47% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.23% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( -0.3) | 46.99% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( -0.28) | 69.24% ( 0.28) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.98% ( -0.14) | 44.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.86% ( -0.11) | 80.14% ( 0.11) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( -0.13) | 13.84% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.79% ( -0.26) | 41.21% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panserraikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 5% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.06% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.74% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.79% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.91% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 64.46% |
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