SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
59.32% ( -1.37) | 22.74% ( 0.75) | 17.94% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( -2.11) | 49.53% ( 2.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( -1.93) | 71.56% ( 1.92) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( -1.18) | 16.34% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.06% ( -2.18) | 45.94% ( 2.18) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( -0.5) | 41.4% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.08% ( -0.45) | 77.91% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.99% Total : 59.32% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.94% |
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