Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
