Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
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