SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 62.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.78%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
62.23% ( 0.03) | 23.74% ( 0.01) | 14.03% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 38.57% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.79% ( -0.1) | 59.21% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.37% ( -0.08) | 79.63% ( 0.08) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( -0.03) | 18.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( -0.05) | 50.25% ( 0.05) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.51% ( -0.13) | 52.49% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.68% ( -0.08) | 86.32% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 16.5% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 62.23% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 14.03% |
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