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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 15
Dec 19, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki

PAOK
3 - 2
Asteras

Akpom (43'), Kurtic (49' pen., 90' pen.)
Schwab (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Soni (12'), Christopoulos (60')
Munafo (65'), Alvarez (66'), Carmona (87'), Garcia (88')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Asteras Tripolis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 70.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 10.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.78%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawAsteras Tripolis
70.23%19.52%10.25%
Both teams to score 39.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07%51.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32%73.68%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36%13.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.18%40.82%
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.37%54.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.34%87.66%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 70.22%
    Asteras Tripolis 10.25%
    Draw 19.52%
PAOKDrawAsteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 14.84%
2-0 @ 14.78%
3-0 @ 9.82%
2-1 @ 8.94%
3-1 @ 5.94%
4-0 @ 4.89%
4-1 @ 2.96%
5-0 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 70.22%
1-1 @ 8.98%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.52%
0-1 @ 4.51%
1-2 @ 2.71%
0-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 10.25%

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