Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
