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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
2 - 1
Panetolikos

Samatta (26'), Zivkovic (36')
Murg (33'), Michailidis (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Silva Torrejon (19')
Liavas (25'), Duarte (34'), Oikonomou (65')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Panetolikos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 2-2 Aberdeen
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Panetolikos 0-1 Asteras
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 7.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.61%) and 3-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawPanetolikos
75.95% (-0.21000000000001 -0.21) 16.08% (0.144 0.14) 7.97% (0.0741 0.07)
Both teams to score 40.59% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54% (-0.377 -0.38)44.46% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17% (-0.366 -0.37)66.83% (0.374 0.37)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.04% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)9.96% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.07% (-0.345 -0.34)32.93% (0.354 0.35)
Panetolikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.08% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.92% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.16% (-0.038 -0.04)87.84% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 75.93%
    Panetolikos 7.97%
    Draw 16.08%
PAOKDrawPanetolikos
2-0 @ 14.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 12.61% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 11.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.45% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.98% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 75.93%
1-1 @ 7.56% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 16.08%
0-1 @ 3.28% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.27% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 7.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: PAOK 2-2 Aberdeen
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-4 PAOK
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-0 PAOK
Monday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 PAOK
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Atromitos
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Panetolikos 0-1 Asteras
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Atromitos 3-2 Panetolikos
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panetolikos 2-0 Volos
Saturday, October 21 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 3-0 Panetolikos
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Lamia 1-0 Panetolikos
Sunday, October 1 at 1pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panetolikos 1-1 OFI Crete
Wednesday, September 27 at 2pm in Greek Superleague


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