Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 8.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.38%) and 3-0 (11.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.