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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 1
Oct 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
3 - 0
Panetolikos

Vida (34'), Rota (36'), Moukoudi (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perez (65'), Mladen (84')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Panetolikos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lamia 1-0 Panetolikos
Sunday, October 1 at 1pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 8.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.38%) and 3-0 (11.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawPanetolikos
75.1% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 16.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 8.17% (-0.020099999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 39.41% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)46.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)10.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.72% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Panetolikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)55.85% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.62% (-0.028 -0.03)88.38% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 75.09%
    Panetolikos 8.17%
    Draw 16.73%
AEK AthensDrawPanetolikos
2-0 @ 14.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.38%
3-0 @ 11.1% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 6.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.61%
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 75.09%
1-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 16.73%
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 8.17%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: OFI Crete 2-0 AEK Athens
Monday, October 2 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-1 Atromitos
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-2 AEK Athens
Monday, September 25 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Brighton 2-3 AEK Athens
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Lamia 1-0 Panetolikos
Sunday, October 1 at 1pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panetolikos 1-1 OFI Crete
Wednesday, September 27 at 2pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aris 3-0 Panetolikos
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panetolikos 0-5 Panathinaikos
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panserraikos 1-1 Panetolikos
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panetolikos 0-0 PAS Giannina
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Greek Superleague


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