SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | PAOK |
32.17% ( 0.01) | 26.28% ( -0) | 41.54% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% ( 0.01) | 52.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.21% ( 0.01) | 73.78% ( -0) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( 0.01) | 30.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( 0.02) | 66.42% ( -0.01) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0) | 24.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( -0) | 59.33% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.54% |
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