SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | PAOK |
50.81% ( -0.35) | 24.93% ( 0.03) | 24.26% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.97% ( 0.15) | 51.03% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.11% ( 0.13) | 72.89% ( -0.13) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( -0.09) | 20.09% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.67% ( -0.14) | 52.33% ( 0.14) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% ( 0.37) | 35.8% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% ( 0.38) | 72.57% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 24.26% |
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