Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.08%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.