Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
