SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for MTK had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Paksi SE |
32.32% ( -0.08) | 23.97% ( 0.06) | 43.7% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.39% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( -0.33) | 41.79% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( -0.33) | 64.19% ( 0.33) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( -0.21) | 25.11% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.18% ( -0.29) | 59.82% ( 0.29) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( -0.13) | 19.36% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( -0.21) | 51.15% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Paksi SE |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.32% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 43.7% |
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