SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kecskemeti TE win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kecskemeti TE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kecskemeti TE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kecskemeti TE | Draw | Diosgyor |
41.65% ( -0.18) | 25.6% ( 0.14) | 32.75% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% ( -0.6) | 49.02% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% ( -0.55) | 71.1% ( 0.55) |
| Kecskemeti TE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( -0.35) | 23.37% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -0.52) | 57.34% ( 0.52) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -0.27) | 28.37% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( -0.34) | 64.11% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kecskemeti TE | Draw | Diosgyor |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.75% |
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