Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.