SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paksi SE | Draw | Diosgyor |
42.97% ( 0.16) | 24.11% ( 0.01) | 32.91% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.09) | 42.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.09) | 64.64% ( 0.09) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0.04) | 19.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( 0.06) | 51.96% ( -0.06) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0.14) | 24.98% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( -0.2) | 59.62% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paksi SE | Draw | Diosgyor |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.06% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.91% |
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