Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for MTK had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
MTK	Draw	Paksi SE
28.94% ( 0.11)	23.66% ( -0.14)	47.39% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.96% (

0.74)

42.04% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.56% (

0.73)

64.44% (

-0.73)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

0.45)

27.4% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13% (

0.58)

62.87% (

-0.58)

Paksi SE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

0.3)

17.94% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.23% (

0.51)

48.77% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

MTK 28.94%

Paksi SE 47.39%

Draw 23.66%

MTK	Draw	Paksi SE
2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.94%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.7% Total : 47.39%