SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paksi SE | Draw | MTK |
38.32% ( -3.79) | 25.07% ( 0.31) | 36.62% ( 3.48) |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.82) | 45.99% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.78) | 68.29% ( 0.78) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( -2.23) | 23.71% ( 2.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( -3.32) | 57.84% ( 3.32) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( 1.62) | 24.63% ( -1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( 2.22) | 59.14% ( -2.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paksi SE | Draw | MTK |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.45) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.62)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.51)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.52)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.27)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.32% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.49) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.64)0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.69)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.4)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.43)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.19)Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.62% |
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