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Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Paksi FC Stadion

Paksi SE
3 - 1
Varda SE

Szabo (16'), Windecker (45+3'), Mezei (80')
Lenzser (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Balogh (74')
Vida (2'), Melnyk (26')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Paksi SE and Varda SE.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 2-5 Paksi SE
Saturday, October 21 at 1.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 2-1 Mezokovesdi
Saturday, October 21 at 11.30am in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.

Result
Paksi SEDrawVarda SE
50.3% (-0.195 -0.2) 24.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.26% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.129 0.13)48.17% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.118 0.12)70.33% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Paksi SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)19.17% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)50.84% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.226 0.23)33.38% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (0.25 0.25)70.01% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Paksi SE 50.3%
    Varda SE 25.26%
    Draw 24.43%
Paksi SEDrawVarda SE
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 25.26%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 2-5 Paksi SE
Saturday, October 21 at 1.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Kecskemeti TE 1-1 Paksi SE
Saturday, October 7 at 7.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Paksi SE 2-1 Mezokovesdi
Saturday, September 30 at 1.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Paksi SE 2-0 Debrecen
Wednesday, September 27 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Puskas Academy 0-2 Paksi SE
Saturday, September 23 at 1.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Paksi SE 2-0 Fehervar
Saturday, September 2 at 6.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 2-1 Mezokovesdi
Saturday, October 21 at 11.30am in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Puskas Academy 1-0 Varda SE
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Fehervar 3-1 Varda SE
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-0 Varda SE
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ujpest 3-2 Varda SE
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Diosgyor 2-0 Varda SE
Saturday, August 26 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I


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