SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paksi SE | Draw | Varda SE |
50.3% ( -0.2) | 24.44% ( 0.01) | 25.26% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( 0.13) | 48.17% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0.12) | 70.33% ( -0.12) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -0.03) | 19.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( -0.05) | 50.84% ( 0.05) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.23) | 33.38% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( 0.25) | 70.01% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paksi SE | Draw | Varda SE |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.26% |
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