Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for MTK had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest MTK win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puskas Academy would win this match.
Result | ||
Puskas Academy | Draw | MTK |
48.99% ( -0.94) | 24.34% ( 0.19) | 26.66% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 55.46% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.35% ( -0.24) | 46.65% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( -0.23) | 68.92% ( 0.23) |
Puskas Academy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.9% ( -0.47) | 19.1% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.27% ( -0.78) | 50.72% ( 0.78) |
MTK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% ( 0.46) | 31.44% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% ( 0.53) | 67.82% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Puskas Academy | Draw | MTK |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.99% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.66% |
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