SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for MTK had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puskas Academy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Puskas Academy |
27.3% ( -0.16) | 24.54% ( -0) | 48.16% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( -0.1) | 47.05% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( -0.1) | 69.29% ( 0.1) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( -0.18) | 31.16% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.51% ( -0.21) | 67.49% ( 0.21) |
| Puskas Academy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( 0.03) | 19.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.46% ( 0.04) | 51.54% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Puskas Academy |
| 1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.3% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 48.16% |
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