SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ujpest | Draw | Diosgyor |
37.56% ( 0.66) | 24.26% ( 0.14) | 38.18% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% ( -0.68) | 42.15% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.45% ( -0.68) | 64.55% ( 0.68) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( 0.03) | 22.39% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( 0.05) | 55.89% ( -0.05) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.7) | 22.07% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( -1.06) | 55.42% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ujpest | Draw | Diosgyor |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.56% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.18% |
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