SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Macao had a probability of 10.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Macao win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambodia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambodia | Draw | Macao |
72.54% ( -0.03) | 16.67% ( -0.04) | 10.8% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( 0.46) | 37.89% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.86% ( 0.49) | 60.14% ( -0.48) |
| Cambodia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( 0.11) | 9.11% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.06% ( 0.26) | 30.94% ( -0.26) |
| Macao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.5% ( 0.45) | 44.5% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.47% ( 0.37) | 80.53% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambodia | Draw | Macao |
| 2-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 72.53% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.93% Total : 16.67% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.8% |
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