SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 9.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 1-2 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambodia | Draw | Hong Kong |
76.48% ( -0.26) | 14.28% ( 0.13) | 9.24% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.64% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.22) | 30.82% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.82% ( -0.26) | 52.18% ( 0.26) |
| Cambodia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.37% ( -0.09) | 6.62% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.39% ( -0.26) | 24.6% ( 0.26) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.45% ( 0.11) | 42.55% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.09% ( 0.09) | 78.91% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambodia | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 76.48% | 1-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.28% | 1-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 9.24% |
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