SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macao win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Myanmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Macao | Draw | Myanmar |
43.96% ( 12.9) | 22.46% ( -1.05) | 33.58% ( -11.84) |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( 5.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.08% ( 6.23) | 33.93% ( -6.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.22% ( 6.75) | 55.78% ( -6.74) |
| Macao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( 8.99) | 16.1% ( -8.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.5% ( 14.28) | 45.5% ( -14.28) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -2.68) | 20.68% ( 2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( -4.42) | 53.27% ( 4.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macao | Draw | Myanmar |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 1.35) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 1.24)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 1.92)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 1.27)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 1.39)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 1.25)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.91)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.86)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.43)Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -1.12) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.55)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -1.18)3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.53)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -1.63) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -2.5)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -2.51)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -1.28)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -1.63)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.69)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.58% |
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