SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 88.03%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Burnei had a probability of 3.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 4-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.15%), while for a Burnei win it was 0-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 10-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Burnei |
88.03% ( 0.09) | 8.75% ( -0.06) | 3.23% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 36.67% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.58% ( 0.17) | 30.42% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.3% ( 0.2) | 51.7% ( -0.2) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.53% ( 0.05) | 4.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.64% ( 0.14) | 18.37% ( -0.13) |
| Burnei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.38% ( -0.01) | 61.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.55% ( -0.01) | 91.46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Burnei |
| 3-0 @ 13.77% 2-0 @ 13.3% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0)5-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.99% Total : 88.01% | 1-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 8.75% | 0-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 3.23% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
