SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 93.27%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 1.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.82%) and 2-0 (13.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.43%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (0.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaysia | Draw | Hong Kong |
93.27% ( -0.04) | 5.42% ( 0.03) | 1.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 25.8% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73% ( -0.13) | 27% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.51% ( -0.16) | 47.48% ( 0.16) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.93% ( -0.02) | 3.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.24% ( -0.08) | 13.76% ( 0.08) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 26.61% ( -0.04) | 73.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 3.9% ( -0.01) | 96.09% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaysia | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 3-0 @ 15.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.91% 4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)8-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.71% Total : 93.25% | 1-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 5.42% | Other @ 1.31% Total : 1.31% |
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