SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Bangladesh |
49.47% ( -0) | 24.08% ( 0) | 26.45% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0.01) | 45.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( 0.01) | 67.98% ( -0.01) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( 0) | 18.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.23% ( 0) | 49.76% ( -0) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( 0.01) | 31.09% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.59% ( 0.01) | 67.41% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Bangladesh |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.47% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.45% |
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