Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for India had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
