SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Curacao win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Indonesia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Curacao |
47.67% ( -0.13) | 22.5% ( 0.03) | 29.83% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.42% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.07% ( -0.09) | 35.93% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.98% ( -0.1) | 58.02% ( 0.1) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( -0.08) | 15.51% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.58% ( -0.15) | 44.42% ( 0.15) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( 0.02) | 23.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( 0.03) | 57.9% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Curacao |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.83% |
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