Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Curacao win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
Result | ||
Canada | Draw | Curacao |
61.19% ( -0.06) | 23.41% ( 0.01) | 15.4% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 42.23% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.05% ( 0.03) | 55.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.96% ( 0.02) | 77.05% ( -0.02) |
Canada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.02% ( -0.01) | 17.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.17% ( -0.02) | 48.83% ( 0.02) |
Curacao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.49% ( 0.08) | 48.51% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.4% ( 0.06) | 83.6% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Canada | Draw | Curacao |
1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.31% 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 61.19% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 15.4% |
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