SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Qatar |
43.77% ( 0.02) | 28.04% ( -0) | 28.19% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.53% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.94% ( 0.01) | 60.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.72% ( 0.01) | 80.28% ( -0.01) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( 0.02) | 27.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( 0.02) | 62.71% ( -0.02) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% ( -0.01) | 37.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% ( -0.01) | 74.18% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Qatar |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.19% |
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